Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSunday, 4 October 2026 · Weidner Field
Colorado Springs
0–0FULL TIME
Oakland Roots
50% Colorado
24% Draw
26% Oakland
OUR PICK
Colorado Springs to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.16
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X4.1723.84
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Colorado Springs form
DWWDDA Lexington1–1
H FC Tulsa2–0
A Monterey Bay0–1
A Sacramento Republic1–1
H Oakland Roots0–0
Oakland Roots form
LWDDWA Sacramento Republic3–2
A FC Tulsa2–4
H San Antonio0–0
A Colorado Springs0–0
H Phoenix Rising3–0
Head to head
4
Colorado
1
Draw
0
Oakland
Oct 2026Colorado Springs – Oakland Roots0–0
May 2026Oakland Roots – Colorado Springs0–1
Aug 2025Oakland Roots – Colorado Springs1–2
Jun 2025Colorado Springs – Oakland Roots1–0
Nov 2024Colorado Springs – Oakland Roots2–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Colorado Springs slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.70 for Colorado Springs, 1.16 for Oakland Roots), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.