Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSunday, 25 October 2026 · Weidner Field
Colorado Springs
2–0FULL TIME
FC Tulsa
41% Colorado
28% Draw
31% FC
OUR PICK
Colorado Springs to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.44
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.03
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.44X3.5223.27
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
72%
Colorado Springs form
DWWDDA Lexington1–1
H FC Tulsa2–0
A Monterey Bay0–1
A Sacramento Republic1–1
H Oakland Roots0–0
FC Tulsa form
LLDDWA Colorado Springs2–0
H Oakland Roots2–4
A Lexington0–0
H Sacramento Republic1–1
H New Mexico United1–0
Head to head
3
Colorado
0
Draw
2
FC
Oct 2026Colorado Springs – FC Tulsa2–0
Jun 2026FC Tulsa – Colorado Springs1–2
Nov 2025FC Tulsa – Colorado Springs1–0
Oct 2025FC Tulsa – Colorado Springs3–0
Aug 2025Colorado Springs – FC Tulsa2–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Colorado Springs slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.24 for Colorado Springs, 1.03 for FC Tulsa), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.