Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 28Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Colorado Rapids
8th · 43 pts1–1FULL TIME
San Jose Earthquakes
3rd · 52 pts39% Colorado
25% Draw
35% San
OUR PICK
Colorado Rapids to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.37
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X3.9822.82
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes1.4Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.5
1.30Points per game1.58
36%Win rate42%
-1Goal difference8
6Form, last 5 (pts)6
Colorado Rapids form
LDWDDH Chicago Fire2–4
A San Jose Earthquakes2–2
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–0
A Portland Timbers0–0
H Minnesota United FC2–2
San Jose Earthquakes form
WDLDDH Real Salt Lake2–1
H Colorado Rapids2–2
A FC Dallas3–0
H Nashville SC1–1
A Real Salt Lake1–1
Head to head
2
Colorado
2
Draw
1
San
Oct 2026San Jose Earthquakes – Colorado Rapids2–2
Oct 2026Colorado Rapids – San Jose Earthquakes1–1
May 2026Colorado Rapids – San Jose Earthquakes2–0
May 2025Colorado Rapids – San Jose Earthquakes0–2
Mar 2025San Jose Earthquakes – Colorado Rapids1–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Colorado Rapids 39%, the draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.46 for Colorado Rapids, 1.37 for San Jose Earthquakes), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Colorado Rapids sit 8th on 43 points; San Jose Earthquakes are 3rd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.