Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Colorado Rapids
9th · 43 pts2–2FULL TIME
Minnesota United FC
12th · 41 pts47% Colorado
24% Draw
29% Minnesota
OUR PICK
Colorado Rapids to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.14
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.25
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.14X4.1323.45
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC1.4Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.7
1.30Points per game1.24
36%Win rate30%
-1Goal difference-4
6Form, last 5 (pts)11
Colorado Rapids form
LDWDDH Chicago Fire2–4
A San Jose Earthquakes2–2
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–0
A Portland Timbers0–0
H Minnesota United FC2–2
Minnesota United FC form
WWDWDA Los Angeles FC1–3
H Sporting Kansas City3–1
A Houston Dynamo0–0
H St. Louis City3–2
A Colorado Rapids2–2
Head to head
2
Colorado
2
Draw
1
Minnesota
Oct 2026Colorado Rapids – Minnesota United FC2–2
May 2026Minnesota United FC – Colorado Rapids0–1
Sept 2025Colorado Rapids – Minnesota United FC1–1
Aug 2025Minnesota United FC – Colorado Rapids1–2
Sept 2024Minnesota United FC – Colorado Rapids3–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Colorado Rapids slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.65 for Colorado Rapids, 1.25 for Minnesota United FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Colorado Rapids sit 9th on 43 points; Minnesota United FC are 12th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.