Over 1.5 goals@1.83
Over 1.5
55%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 36Saturday, 31 October 2026
Colon Santa Fe
5th · 60 pts2–0FULL TIME
Defensores De Belgrano
14th · 39 pts57% Colon
29% Draw
14% Defensores
OUR PICK
Colon Santa Fe to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.51
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X3.4726.98
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.38
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.41
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.41
NG
71%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Colon Santa FeDefensores De Belgrano1.3Goals per game0.7
0.8Conceded per game0.9
1.67Points per game1.08
44%Win rate22%
18Goal difference-9
11Form, last 5 (pts)3
Colon Santa Fe form
No recent matches.
Defensores De Belgrano form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Colon
0
Draw
0
Defensores
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Colon Santa Fe clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.32 for Colon Santa Fe, 0.51 for Defensores De Belgrano), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Colon Santa Fe sit 5th on 60 points; Defensores De Belgrano are 14th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.