Over 1.5 goals@1.62
Over 1.5
62%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 32Saturday, 3 October 2026
Colon Santa Fe
5th · 60 pts1–0FULL TIME
CA Estudiantes
8th · 49 pts52% Colon
28% Draw
20% CA
OUR PICK
Colon Santa Fe to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.91
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.72
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.91X3.5825.09
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
Colon Santa FeCA Estudiantes1.3Goals per game1.0
0.8Conceded per game1.0
1.67Points per game1.36
44%Win rate36%
18Goal difference0
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Colon Santa Fe form
WWDDWH Defensores De Belgrano2–0
A Ciudad de Bolívar0–2
H Almirante Brown2–2
A Atletico Mitre0–0
H CA Estudiantes1–0
CA Estudiantes form
LDLWLA All Boys1–0
H Los Andes1–1
A Godoy Cruz6–3
H Deportivo Moron2–0
A Colon Santa Fe1–0
Head to head
1
Colon
3
Draw
1
CA
Oct 2026Colon Santa Fe – CA Estudiantes1–0
May 2026CA Estudiantes – Colon Santa Fe1–1
Sept 2025CA Estudiantes – Colon Santa Fe1–0
May 2025Colon Santa Fe – CA Estudiantes0–0
Oct 2019Colon Santa Fe – CA Estudiantes2–2
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Colon Santa Fe clear favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.91 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.37 for Colon Santa Fe, 0.72 for CA Estudiantes), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Colon Santa Fe sit 5th on 60 points; CA Estudiantes are 8th on 49.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.