Over 1.5 goals@2.41
Over 1.5
42%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 33Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
0–0FULL TIME
Tristan Suarez
25% Colegiales
38% Draw
38% Tristan
OUR PICK
Tristan Suarez to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.65
Expected goals
0.60 – 0.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.06X2.6622.65
Goals 2.5Over5.55Under1.21
Both scoreGG3.77NG1.34
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Under 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.34
NG
75%
Double chance@1.33
X2
75%
Colegiales form
DDWDWA San Martin Tucuman0–0
H Atletico DE Rafaela1–1
A Agropecuario0–3
H Tristan Suarez0–0
A Club Atlético Güemes0–1
Tristan Suarez form
DDWDDH Deportivo Maipu0–0
A Almagro1–1
H Patronato1–0
A Colegiales0–0
H Quilmes0–0
Head to head
2
Colegiales
3
Draw
0
Tristan
Oct 2026Colegiales – Tristan Suarez0–0
May 2026Tristan Suarez – Colegiales0–0
Sept 2025Tristan Suarez – Colegiales2–2
May 2025Colegiales – Tristan Suarez1–0
Mar 2020Colegiales – Tristan Suarez1–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Tristan Suarez slight favourites, giving them a 38% chance of winning against 38% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.4 goals in total (0.60 for Colegiales, 0.82 for Tristan Suarez), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.