Over 1.5 goals@1.88
Over 1.5
53%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
1–1FULL TIME
Atletico DE Rafaela
46% Colegiales
32% Draw
22% Atletico
OUR PICK
Colegiales to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.11 – 0.67
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.1324.53
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.36
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Colegiales form
DDWDWA San Martin Tucuman0–0
H Atletico DE Rafaela1–1
A Agropecuario0–3
H Tristan Suarez0–0
A Club Atlético Güemes0–1
Atletico DE Rafaela form
DDWLLH Patronato0–0
A Colegiales1–1
H Quilmes1–0
A Midland4–0
H Atlanta2–3
Head to head
0
Colegiales
1
Draw
1
Atletico
Oct 2026Colegiales – Atletico DE Rafaela1–1
Jun 2026Atletico DE Rafaela – Colegiales1–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Colegiales slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.11 for Colegiales, 0.67 for Atletico DE Rafaela), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.