Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 26Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estadio El Cobre
Cobresal
14th · 26 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
Everton de Vina
4th · 39 pts31% Cobresal
23% Draw
46% Everton
OUR PICK
Everton de Vina to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.78
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.24X4.3422.17
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
CobresalEverton de Vina1.4Goals per game1.6
1.8Conceded per game1.2
1.04Points per game1.56
28%Win rate44%
-10Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Cobresal form
No recent matches.
Everton de Vina form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Cobresal
0
Draw
0
Everton
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model makes Everton de Vina slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.42 for Cobresal, 1.78 for Everton de Vina), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cobresal sit 14th on 26 points; Everton de Vina are 4th on 39.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.