Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 14Monday, 26 October 2026 · Estadio Caliente
Club Tijuana
6th · 22 pts4–1FULL TIME
Santos Laguna
8th · 22 pts40% Club
26% Draw
34% Santos
OUR PICK
Club Tijuana to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.24
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.52X3.8022.94
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Club TijuanaSantos Laguna1.7Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.47Points per game1.47
33%Win rate47%
4Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)12
Club Tijuana form
DDWDDA Monterrey3–3
A Club America1–1
H Santos Laguna4–1
A Toluca2–2
H Puebla0–0
Santos Laguna form
WLWWWH Necaxa1–0
A Club Tijuana4–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0
H Club Queretaro5–0
A Atletico San Luis1–2
Head to head
3
Club
0
Draw
2
Santos
Oct 2026Club Tijuana – Santos Laguna4–1
Mar 2026Club Tijuana – Santos Laguna1–2
Sept 2025Santos Laguna – Club Tijuana1–0
Apr 2025Santos Laguna – Club Tijuana0–4
Aug 2024Club Tijuana – Santos Laguna3–1
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Club Tijuana 40%, the draw 26%, Santos Laguna 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.36 for Club Tijuana, 1.24 for Santos Laguna), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Club Tijuana sit 6th on 22 points; Santos Laguna are 8th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.