Over 1.5 goals@1.06
Over 1.5
94%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Jan Breydel Stadium
Club Brugge KV
11th · 6 pts3–0FULL TIME
Lens
27th · 3 pts53% Club
19% Draw
28% Lens
OUR PICK
Club Brugge KV to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
2.61 – 1.91
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X5.3823.53
Goals 2.5Over1.21Under5.55
Both scoreGG1.27NG4.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Over 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.27
GG
79%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Club Brugge KVLens3.0Goals per game1.0
2.0Conceded per game2.3
2.00Points per game1.00
67%Win rate33%
3Goal difference-4
6Form, last 5 (pts)3
Club Brugge KV form
WWWWWA Zulte Waregem2–4
H St. Truiden3–2
H Lens3–0
H Lokeren-Temse1–0
A Inter3–4
Lens form
LWLWLA Lille1–0
H Paris FC2–1
A Club Brugge KV3–0
A Estac Troyes1–3
H Sporting CP0–2
Head to head
1
Club
0
Draw
0
Lens
Oct 2026Club Brugge KV – Lens3–0
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Club Brugge KV slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.5 goals in total (2.61 for Club Brugge KV, 1.91 for Lens), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Club Brugge KV sit 11th on 6 points; Lens are 27th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.