Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 34Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes
2–1FULL TIME
Almagro
28% Club
27% Draw
45% Almagro
OUR PICK
Almagro to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.20
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.40
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.61X3.7222.20
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.78
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Club Atlético Güemes form
DLWLLH Temperley2–2
A Deportivo Maipu3–1
H Almagro2–1
A Patronato2–0
H Colegiales0–1
Almagro form
LDLWWA Agropecuario2–1
H Tristan Suarez1–1
A Club Atlético Güemes2–1
H Chacarita Juniors2–1
A San Martin S.J.1–2
Head to head
0
Club
0
Draw
0
Almagro
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Almagro slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.03 for Club Atlético Güemes, 1.40 for Almagro), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.