Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
90%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 7Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Estadio Banorte
Club America
1st · 29 pts1–1FULL TIME
Club Tijuana
6th · 22 pts60% Club
19% Draw
21% Club
OUR PICK
Club America to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
2.43 – 1.42
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.68X5.2924.66
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Club AmericaClub Tijuana2.4Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.93Points per game1.47
53%Win rate33%
15Goal difference4
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Club America form
DDLWWH Toluca2–2
H Club Tijuana1–1
H CF Pachuca1–2
A Atlas2–5
A Leon3–5
Club Tijuana form
DDWDDA Monterrey3–3
A Club America1–1
H Santos Laguna4–1
A Toluca2–2
H Puebla0–0
Head to head
1
Club
4
Draw
0
Club
Oct 2026Club America – Club Tijuana1–1
Jan 2026Club Tijuana – Club America0–0
Jul 2025Club America – Club Tijuana3–1
Jan 2025Club America – Club Tijuana1–1
Nov 2024Club Tijuana – Club America2–2
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Club America clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.43 for Club America, 1.42 for Club Tijuana), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Club America sit 1st on 29 points; Club Tijuana are 6th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.