Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 14Monday, 26 October 2026 · Estadio Banorte
Club America
1st · 29 pts1–2FULL TIME
CF Pachuca
12th · 19 pts58% Club
20% Draw
22% CF
OUR PICK
Club America to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.32
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.71X5.0224.59
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
66%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Club AmericaCF Pachuca2.4Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.93Points per game1.27
53%Win rate33%
15Goal difference6
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Club America form
DDLWWH Toluca2–2
H Club Tijuana1–1
H CF Pachuca1–2
A Atlas2–5
A Leon3–5
CF Pachuca form
WWLLDH Tigres UANL3–0
A Club America1–2
H Cruz Azul1–2
A Monterrey2–1
H Necaxa3–3
Head to head
2
Club
2
Draw
1
CF
Oct 2026Club America – CF Pachuca1–2
Jan 2026CF Pachuca – Club America0–0
Aug 2025Club America – CF Pachuca2–0
May 2025Club America – CF Pachuca2–0
May 2025CF Pachuca – Club America0–0
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Club America clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.25 for Club America, 1.32 for CF Pachuca), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Club America sit 1st on 29 points; CF Pachuca are 12th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.