Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · Stade Gabriel Montpied
Clermont Foot
17th · 8 pts0–2FULL TIME
Guingamp
9th · 14 pts40% Clermont
27% Draw
34% Guingamp
OUR PICK
Clermont Foot to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.52X3.7622.97
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Clermont FootGuingamp0.9Goals per game1.5
1.4Conceded per game1.4
0.73Points per game1.27
0%Win rate36%
-5Goal difference1
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Clermont Foot form
DLDLLA Nantes1–1
H Guingamp0–2
A Laval3–3
H RED Star FC 932–3
A Auxerre4–3
Guingamp form
WWLLWH Saint Etienne3–0
A Clermont Foot0–2
H PAU1–2
A Nancy1–0
H Le Mans2–1
Head to head
3
Clermont
0
Draw
2
Guingamp
Oct 2026Clermont Foot – Guingamp0–2
May 2026Clermont Foot – Guingamp1–0
Oct 2025Guingamp – Clermont Foot0–1
Mar 2025Guingamp – Clermont Foot3–1
Oct 2024Clermont Foot – Guingamp4–1
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Clermont Foot 40%, the draw 27%, Guingamp 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.34 for Clermont Foot, 1.21 for Guingamp), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Clermont Foot sit 17th on 8 points; Guingamp are 9th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.