Over 1.5 goals@1.89
Over 1.5
53%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Estadio Municipal Eva Peron
Ciudad de Bolívar
7th · 51 pts0–2FULL TIME
Colon Santa Fe
5th · 60 pts28% Ciudad
33% Draw
39% Colon
OUR PICK
Colon Santa Fe to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
0.79 – 0.98
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.54X3.0322.58
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.35
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.52
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.52
NG
66%
Double chance@1.39
X2
72%
Season stats
Ciudad de BolívarColon Santa Fe0.8Goals per game1.3
0.9Conceded per game0.8
1.42Points per game1.67
36%Win rate44%
-3Goal difference18
9Form, last 5 (pts)11
Ciudad de Bolívar form
LLWWWA Deportivo Moron2–0
H Colon Santa Fe0–2
A San Miguel1–2
H San Telmo1–0
A Acassuso0–1
Colon Santa Fe form
WWDDWH Defensores De Belgrano2–0
A Ciudad de Bolívar0–2
H Almirante Brown2–2
A Atletico Mitre0–0
H CA Estudiantes1–0
Head to head
0
Ciudad
1
Draw
1
Colon
Oct 2026Ciudad de Bolívar – Colon Santa Fe0–2
Jun 2026Colon Santa Fe – Ciudad de Bolívar0–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Colon Santa Fe slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.79 for Ciudad de Bolívar, 0.98 for Colon Santa Fe), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ciudad de Bolívar sit 7th on 51 points; Colon Santa Fe are 5th on 60.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.