Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadion Chornomorets
Chornomorets
9th · 9 pts1–2FULL TIME
FC Kharkiv
4th · 21 pts19% Chornomorets
27% Draw
54% FC
OUR PICK
FC Kharkiv to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
0.76 – 1.46
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.13X3.7521.86
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.62
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.24
X2
81%
Season stats
ChornomoretsFC Kharkiv0.8Goals per game2.0
1.2Conceded per game0.8
0.90Points per game2.33
20%Win rate78%
-4Goal difference11
5Form, last 5 (pts)15
Chornomorets form
WDLLDA Veres Rivne1–3
H Karpaty0–0
A Zorya Luhansk2–1
H FC Kharkiv1–2
H Obolon'-Brovar1–1
FC Kharkiv form
WWWWA Mayak Sarny1–2
A Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–2
H Livyi Bereh2–1
A Chornomorets1–2
Head to head
1
Chornomorets
2
Draw
2
FC
Oct 2026Chornomorets – FC Kharkiv1–2
May 2024Chornomorets – FC Kharkiv3–0
Nov 2023FC Kharkiv – Chornomorets2–1
Mar 2023Chornomorets – FC Kharkiv1–1
Aug 2022FC Kharkiv – Chornomorets0–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes FC Kharkiv clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.76 for Chornomorets, 1.46 for FC Kharkiv), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chornomorets sit 9th on 9 points; FC Kharkiv are 4th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.