Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 29Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Tongliang Long Stadium
Chongqing Tongliang Long
9th · 36 pts2–0FULL TIME
Qingdao Jonoon
16th · 14 pts55% Chongqing
25% Draw
21% Qingdao
OUR PICK
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.90
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X4.0524.82
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
Chongqing Tongliang LongQingdao Jonoon1.1Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game2.1
1.24Points per game0.48
28%Win rate21%
-3Goal difference-28
6Form, last 5 (pts)0
Chongqing Tongliang Long form
WDDLLH Qingdao Jonoon2–0
A Yunnan Yukun1–1
H Shandong Luneng1–1
H Shanghai Shenhua1–3
A Yunnan Yukun1–0
Qingdao Jonoon form
LLLLLA Chongqing Tongliang Long2–0
H Shenyang Urban0–4
H Beijing Guoan0–3
A Dalian Zhixing2–1
H Wuhan Three Towns1–5
Head to head
2
Chongqing
0
Draw
0
Qingdao
Oct 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long – Qingdao Jonoon2–0
May 2026Qingdao Jonoon – Chongqing Tongliang Long0–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Chongqing Tongliang Long clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.63 for Chongqing Tongliang Long, 0.90 for Qingdao Jonoon), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 9th on 36 points; Qingdao Jonoon are 16th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.