Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 3Thursday, 15 October 2026
Chirundu Utd
10th · 0 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kabwe Warriors
3rd · 0 pts44% Chirundu
25% Draw
30% Kabwe
OUR PICK
Chirundu Utd to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Chirundu UtdKabwe Warriors0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Chirundu Utd form
DWWDA Red Arrows0–0
A Mufulira Wanderers0–1
H Mutondo Stars3–0
A Nkwazi0–0
Kabwe Warriors form
DLWA Green Eagles0–0
H Green Buffaloes1–2
H Mutondo Stars3–2
Head to head
0
Chirundu
0
Draw
0
Kabwe
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Chirundu Utd slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Chirundu Utd, 1.21 for Kabwe Warriors), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chirundu Utd sit 10th on 0 points; Kabwe Warriors are 3rd on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.