Over 1.5 goals@1.80
Over 1.5
55%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 8Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Buffalo City Stadium
Chippa United
7th · 11 pts0–1FULL TIME
Kruger United
9th · 10 pts53% Chippa
30% Draw
18% Kruger
OUR PICK
Chippa United to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.60
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X3.3625.65
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.40
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Chippa UnitedKruger United0.7Goals per game0.8
0.8Conceded per game1.4
1.22Points per game1.11
22%Win rate33%
-1Goal difference-6
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Chippa United form
WLLWDA Stellenbosch0–2
A Golden Arrows4–0
H Kruger United0–1
A TS Galaxy0–1
H Mamelodi Sundowns1–1
Kruger United form
WLWLWH Richards Bay3–1
H Amazulu0–1
A Chippa United0–1
H Stellenbosch0–1
A TS Galaxy0–1
Head to head
0
Chippa
0
Draw
0
Kruger
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Chippa United clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.26 for Chippa United, 0.60 for Kruger United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chippa United sit 7th on 11 points; Kruger United are 9th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.