Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 18Friday, 6 November 2026 · Estadio La Independencia
Chico
18th · 17 pts00:00KICK-OFF WAT
Internacional de Bogota
8th · 28 pts26% Chico
26% Draw
49% Internacional
OUR PICK
Internacional de Bogota to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.54
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.90X3.9222.05
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
ChicoInternacional de Bogota0.8Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.4
0.89Points per game1.47
26%Win rate37%
-17Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Chico form
LDWLLA Deportivo Cali2–0
H Junior1–1
H Bucaramanga1–0
A Deportivo Pereira2–0
H Atletico Nacional1–4
Internacional de Bogota form
WLWWDH Independiente Medellin3–1
A Alianza Valledupar1–0
H Fortaleza FC2–1
H Llaneros4–1
A Junior2–2
Head to head
2
Chico
1
Draw
2
Internacional
Apr 2026Internacional de Bogota – Chico4–0
Aug 2025Chico – Internacional de Bogota0–0
Feb 2025Internacional de Bogota – Chico0–1
Oct 2024Chico – Internacional de Bogota1–0
Apr 2024Internacional de Bogota – Chico4–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Internacional de Bogota slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.04 for Chico, 1.54 for Internacional de Bogota), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chico sit 18th on 17 points; Internacional de Bogota are 8th on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.