Over 1.5 goals@2.68
Over 1.5
37%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 32Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Luveve Stadium
Chicken Inn
10th · 43 pts0–0FULL TIME
Kariba
14th · 33 pts41% Chicken
39% Draw
20% Kariba
OUR PICK
Chicken Inn to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
0.82 – 0.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.45X2.5624.99
Goals 2.5Over6.74Under1.17
Both scoreGG4.49NG1.27
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.17
Under 2.5
86%
Both teams to score@1.27
NG
79%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
Chicken InnKariba0.7Goals per game0.6
0.8Conceded per game0.8
1.39Points per game1.03
35%Win rate19%
-1Goal difference-9
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Chicken Inn form
DDWDWH Kariba0–0
H Platinum0–0
A Simba Bhora1–2
H MWOS0–0
A Dynamos0–1
Kariba form
DLWLDA Chicken Inn0–0
H Agama0–1
H Scotland Mabvuku1–0
A Platinum1–0
H Simba Bhora0–0
Head to head
1
Chicken
1
Draw
3
Kariba
Oct 2026Chicken Inn – Kariba0–0
May 2026Kariba – Chicken Inn1–0
Jul 2025Chicken Inn – Kariba1–0
Mar 2025Kariba – Chicken Inn1–0
Jul 2024Kariba – Chicken Inn2–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Chicken Inn slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 39% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.3 goals in total (0.82 for Chicken Inn, 0.48 for Kariba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chicken Inn sit 10th on 43 points; Kariba are 14th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.