Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
82%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 16Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Soldier Field
Chicago Fire
3–1FULL TIME
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st · 61 pts27% Chicago
23% Draw
50% Vancouver
OUR PICK
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.82
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.71X4.3522.00
Goals 2.5Over1.67Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
60%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Chicago Fire form
WDWLLA Colorado Rapids2–4
H Orlando City SC2–2
A Atlanta United FC2–3
A New England Revolution1–0
H Philadelphia Union1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps form
WWLWDH Seattle Sounders5–1
H San Diego4–1
A Colorado Rapids1–0
A Austin1–2
A St. Louis City0–0
Head to head
3
Chicago
0
Draw
2
Vancouver
Oct 2026Chicago Fire – Vancouver Whitecaps3–1
Mar 2025Vancouver Whitecaps – Chicago Fire1–3
Aug 2023Chicago Fire – Vancouver Whitecaps0–1
Jul 2022Vancouver Whitecaps – Chicago Fire1–3
Apr 2021Vancouver Whitecaps – Chicago Fire3–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Vancouver Whitecaps slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.28 for Chicago Fire, 1.82 for Vancouver Whitecaps), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.