Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 32Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Soldier Field
Chicago Fire
2–2FULL TIME
Orlando City SC
65% Chicago
17% Draw
19% Orlando
OUR PICK
Chicago Fire to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
2.87 – 1.53
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.54X6.0525.40
Goals 2.5Over1.23Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.35NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.35
GG
74%
Double chance@1.20
12
83%
Chicago Fire form
WDWLLA Colorado Rapids2–4
H Orlando City SC2–2
A Atlanta United FC2–3
A New England Revolution1–0
H Philadelphia Union1–3
Orlando City SC form
LDDWDA Charlotte4–0
A Chicago Fire2–2
H New York City FC2–2
H DC United4–1
A Toronto FC3–3
Head to head
3
Chicago
2
Draw
0
Orlando
Oct 2026Chicago Fire – Orlando City SC2–2
Aug 2026Orlando City SC – Chicago Fire1–2
Oct 2025Chicago Fire – Orlando City SC3–1
May 2025Orlando City SC – Chicago Fire1–3
May 2025Chicago Fire – Orlando City SC0–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Chicago Fire clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.4 goals in total (2.87 for Chicago Fire, 1.53 for Orlando City SC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.