Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Soldier Field
Chicago Fire
22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Columbus Crew
49% Chicago
22% Draw
29% Columbus
OUR PICK
Chicago Fire to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.39
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.04X4.4523.51
Goals 2.5Over1.58Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.58
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Chicago Fire form
WDWLLA Colorado Rapids2–4
H Orlando City SC2–2
A Atlanta United FC2–3
A New England Revolution1–0
H Philadelphia Union1–3
Columbus Crew form
WWWDWH DC United3–0
A FC Dallas0–2
H Toronto FC4–2
H St. Louis City0–0
A FC Cincinnati0–2
Head to head
1
Chicago
1
Draw
3
Columbus
Mar 2026Columbus Crew – Chicago Fire0–0
Sept 2025Chicago Fire – Columbus Crew2–0
Feb 2025Columbus Crew – Chicago Fire4–2
May 2024Chicago Fire – Columbus Crew1–3
Mar 2024Columbus Crew – Chicago Fire2–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Chicago Fire slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.88 for Chicago Fire, 1.39 for Columbus Crew), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.