Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 27Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Chengdu Phoenix Hill Football Stadium
Chengdu Better City
1st · 52 pts0–1FULL TIME
Tianjin Teda
12th · 31 pts53% Chengdu
25% Draw
23% Tianjin
OUR PICK
Chengdu Better City to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.64 – 0.99
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.0624.38
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.30
1X
77%
Season stats
Chengdu Better CityTianjin Teda1.8Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.2
1.79Points per game1.07
52%Win rate38%
16Goal difference4
4Form, last 5 (pts)12
Chengdu Better City form
LLLDWH Dalian Zhixing0–1
A SHANGHAI SIPG3–0
H Tianjin Teda0–1
A Henan Jianye0–0
H Shenyang Urban2–1
Tianjin Teda form
LWWWWH SHANGHAI SIPG1–3
A Henan Jianye0–1
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Shenyang Urban1–0
H Hangzhou Greentown2–1
Head to head
2
Chengdu
0
Draw
3
Tianjin
Oct 2026Chengdu Better City – Tianjin Teda0–1
May 2026Tianjin Teda – Chengdu Better City1–2
Jul 2025Tianjin Teda – Chengdu Better City2–1
Mar 2025Chengdu Better City – Tianjin Teda1–2
Jul 2024Chengdu Better City – Tianjin Teda2–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Chengdu Better City slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.64 for Chengdu Better City, 0.99 for Tianjin Teda), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chengdu Better City sit 1st on 52 points; Tianjin Teda are 12th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.