Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 29Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Shuangliu Sports Centre
Chengdu Better City
1st · 52 pts0–1FULL TIME
Dalian Zhixing
2nd · 49 pts56% Chengdu
22% Draw
22% Dalian
OUR PICK
Chengdu Better City to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.15
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.5824.54
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Chengdu Better CityDalian Zhixing1.8Goals per game1.6
1.2Conceded per game1.5
1.79Points per game1.69
52%Win rate52%
16Goal difference3
4Form, last 5 (pts)13
Chengdu Better City form
LLLDWH Dalian Zhixing0–1
A SHANGHAI SIPG3–0
H Tianjin Teda0–1
A Henan Jianye0–0
H Shenyang Urban2–1
Dalian Zhixing form
LWWWWA Yunnan Yukun4–3
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Sichuan Jiuniu3–1
A Qingdao Youth Island0–4
H Qingdao Jonoon2–1
Head to head
2
Chengdu
0
Draw
2
Dalian
Oct 2026Chengdu Better City – Dalian Zhixing0–1
May 2026Dalian Zhixing – Chengdu Better City2–0
Aug 2025Dalian Zhixing – Chengdu Better City0–2
Apr 2025Chengdu Better City – Dalian Zhixing2–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Chengdu Better City clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.96 for Chengdu Better City, 1.15 for Dalian Zhixing), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chengdu Better City sit 1st on 52 points; Dalian Zhixing are 2nd on 49.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.