Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Whaddon Road
Cheltenham
5th · 21 pts0–2FULL TIME
Salford City
1st · 31 pts35% Cheltenham
22% Draw
43% Salford
OUR PICK
Salford City to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.85
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.84X4.5222.35
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.46NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
68%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
CheltenhamSalford City1.6Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.1
1.50Points per game2.21
43%Win rate71%
-2Goal difference10
6Form, last 5 (pts)15
Cheltenham form
LWWLDA Tranmere3–1
H Newport County1–0
H Fleetwood Town4–2
A Oldham4–1
H Tottenham Hotspur U212–2
Salford City form
WWWWWH Exeter City2–1
A Walsall2–4
A Bristol Rovers1–2
H Crawley Town2–1
A Cheltenham0–2
Head to head
2
Cheltenham
1
Draw
2
Salford
Oct 2026Cheltenham – Salford City0–2
Feb 2026Cheltenham – Salford City3–2
Aug 2025Salford City – Cheltenham1–1
Jan 2025Cheltenham – Salford City2–1
Nov 2024Salford City – Cheltenham2–0
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Cheltenham 35%, the draw 22%, Salford City 43%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.67 for Cheltenham, 1.85 for Salford City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points; Salford City are 1st on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.