Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 12Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Whaddon Road
Cheltenham
5th · 21 pts4–2FULL TIME
Fleetwood Town
16th · 17 pts37% Cheltenham
26% Draw
38% Fleetwood
OUR PICK
Fleetwood Town to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.74X3.9122.64
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
CheltenhamFleetwood Town1.6Goals per game1.3
1.8Conceded per game1.3
1.50Points per game1.21
43%Win rate29%
-2Goal difference0
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Cheltenham form
LWWLDA Tranmere3–1
H Newport County1–0
H Fleetwood Town4–2
A Oldham4–1
H Tottenham Hotspur U212–2
Fleetwood Town form
WDLLWH Bristol Rovers3–1
H Arsenal1–1
A Exeter City2–1
A Cheltenham4–2
H Rotherham2–0
Head to head
2
Cheltenham
1
Draw
2
Fleetwood
Oct 2026Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town4–2
Mar 2026Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham2–2
Oct 2025Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town2–0
Feb 2025Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham2–0
Sept 2024Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town0–2
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Cheltenham 37%, the draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.36 for Cheltenham, 1.39 for Fleetwood Town), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points; Fleetwood Town are 16th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.