Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · The Valley
Charlton
20th · 14 pts1–3FULL TIME
Norwich
15th · 15 pts35% Charlton
25% Draw
40% Norwich
OUR PICK
Norwich to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.47
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.84X3.9922.52
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
CharltonNorwich0.8Goals per game1.8
1.6Conceded per game1.8
1.08Points per game1.15
23%Win rate38%
-10Goal difference-1
2Form, last 5 (pts)6
Charlton form
LLLDDA Middlesbrough3–0
H Norwich1–3
A Watford2–0
A Burnley2–2
H Bristol City1–1
Norwich form
WWLLLH Watford3–2
A Charlton1–3
H Portsmouth0–1
H Southampton0–1
A Swansea2–1
Head to head
0
Charlton
0
Draw
5
Norwich
Oct 2026Charlton – Norwich1–3
Mar 2026Charlton – Norwich0–1
Dec 2025Norwich – Charlton1–0
Jan 2022Charlton – Norwich0–1
Aug 2017Norwich – Charlton4–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Charlton 35%, the draw 25%, Norwich 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.37 for Charlton, 1.47 for Norwich), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Charlton sit 20th on 14 points; Norwich are 15th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.