Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 28Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte
3–2FULL TIME
FC Dallas
2nd · 55 pts49% Charlotte
22% Draw
29% FC
OUR PICK
Charlotte to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.41
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.05X4.4723.47
Goals 2.5Over1.56Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.56NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.56
GG
64%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Charlotte form
WWLDLH Orlando City SC4–0
H CF Montreal4–0
A Portland Timbers3–2
A Philadelphia Union2–2
A Columbus Crew3–1
FC Dallas form
DLWDWA Sporting Kansas City1–1
H Columbus Crew0–2
H San Jose Earthquakes3–0
A Houston Dynamo2–2
H Seattle Sounders1–0
Head to head
1
Charlotte
1
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026Charlotte – FC Dallas3–2
Jul 2023FC Dallas – Charlotte2–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Charlotte slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.89 for Charlotte, 1.41 for FC Dallas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.