Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Charleroi
4th · 21 pts19:15KICK-OFF WAT
RAAL La Louvière
15th · 7 pts67% Charleroi
19% Draw
14% RAAL
OUR PICK
Charleroi to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.49
Expected goals
2.26 – 0.94
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.49X5.3726.99
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
CharleroiRAAL La Louvière1.8Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game2.0
2.33Points per game0.78
78%Win rate22%
6Goal difference-7
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Charleroi form
No recent matches.
RAAL La Louvière form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Charleroi
0
Draw
0
RAAL
These sides haven't met recently.
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent9+1525
4Charleroi9+621
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7KVC Westerlo10014
8Lommel United9012
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Charleroi clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.26 for Charleroi, 0.94 for RAAL La Louvière), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Charleroi sit 4th on 21 points; RAAL La Louvière are 15th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.