ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 32Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia

Chaco For Ever

9th · 46 pts
2–2FULL TIME

Defensores De Belgrano

15th · 39 pts
47% Chaco
32% Draw
21% Defensores
OUR PICK
Chaco For Ever to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
1.11 – 0.63
Confidence
Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.12X3.1124.81
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.34
Both scoreGG3.04NG1.46

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.93
Over 1.5
52%
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.46
NG
69%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%

Season stats

Chaco For EverDefensores De Belgrano
1.1Goals per game0.7
1.0Conceded per game0.9
1.28Points per game1.08
33%Win rate22%
2Goal difference-9
10Form, last 5 (pts)3

Chaco For Ever form

WWLWD
H Racing Cordoba3–1
A Ferro Carril Oeste0–3
H Central Norte1–2
A Deportivo Madryn1–2
H Defensores De Belgrano2–2

Defensores De Belgrano form

LDDLD
A Colon Santa Fe2–0
H San Miguel0–0
A San Telmo0–0
H Acassuso0–3
A Chaco For Ever2–2

Head to head

1
Chaco
4
Draw
0
Defensores
Oct 2026Chaco For Ever – Defensores De Belgrano2–2
May 2026Defensores De Belgrano – Chaco For Ever0–0
Sept 2025Defensores De Belgrano – Chaco For Ever0–0
May 2025Chaco For Ever – Defensores De Belgrano1–0
Aug 2024Defensores De Belgrano – Chaco For Ever0–0

Primera Nacional table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143

Match preview

Our model makes Chaco For Ever slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 1.7 goals in total (1.11 for Chaco For Ever, 0.63 for Defensores De Belgrano), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Chaco For Ever sit 9th on 46 points; Defensores De Belgrano are 15th on 39.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.