Over 1.5 goals@2.00
Over 1.5
50%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 34Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia
Chaco For Ever
9th · 46 pts1–2FULL TIME
Central Norte
15th · 38 pts48% Chaco
33% Draw
19% Central
OUR PICK
Chaco For Ever to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.10 – 0.58
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X3.0725.18
Goals 2.5Over3.93Under1.31
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Under 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.42
NG
71%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Chaco For EverCentral Norte1.1Goals per game0.6
1.0Conceded per game0.9
1.28Points per game1.06
33%Win rate19%
2Goal difference-9
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Chaco For Ever form
WWLWDH Racing Cordoba3–1
A Ferro Carril Oeste0–3
H Central Norte1–2
A Deportivo Madryn1–2
H Defensores De Belgrano2–2
Central Norte form
LDWDDA San Telmo1–0
H Acassuso0–0
A Chaco For Ever1–2
H Ferro Carril Oeste1–1
H Racing Cordoba1–1
Head to head
2
Chaco
2
Draw
1
Central
Oct 2026Chaco For Ever – Central Norte1–2
May 2026Central Norte – Chaco For Ever1–1
Jan 2026Chaco For Ever – Central Norte1–1
Aug 2025Central Norte – Chaco For Ever0–1
Mar 2025Chaco For Ever – Central Norte1–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Chaco For Ever slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (1.10 for Chaco For Ever, 0.58 for Central Norte), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Chaco For Ever sit 9th on 46 points; Central Norte are 15th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.