Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 34Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors
1–0FULL TIME
Deportivo Maipu
28% Chacarita
31% Draw
42% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Deportivo Maipu to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.63X3.2522.40
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.38
X2
72%
Chacarita Juniors form
WWWLWH Nueva Chicago2–0
A Temperley0–1
H Deportivo Maipu1–0
A Almagro2–1
H Patronato1–0
Deportivo Maipu form
DWLDWA Tristan Suarez0–0
H Club Atlético Güemes3–1
A Chacarita Juniors1–0
H San Martin S.J.1–1
A Nueva Chicago0–1
Head to head
4
Chacarita
0
Draw
1
Deportivo
Oct 2026Chacarita Juniors – Deportivo Maipu1–0
May 2026Deportivo Maipu – Chacarita Juniors3–2
Jun 2024Deportivo Maipu – Chacarita Juniors0–2
Feb 2024Chacarita Juniors – Deportivo Maipu2–0
Jul 2023Chacarita Juniors – Deportivo Maipu2–1
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Maipu slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.85 for Chacarita Juniors, 1.12 for Deportivo Maipu), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.