Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 15Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Hidalgo
CF Pachuca
11th · 19 pts3–0FULL TIME
Tigres UANL
15th · 15 pts52% CF
25% Draw
23% Tigres
OUR PICK
CF Pachuca to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.91
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.96
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.91X4.0024.41
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
Season stats
CF PachucaTigres UANL1.7Goals per game1.0
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.27Points per game1.00
33%Win rate20%
6Goal difference-7
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
CF Pachuca form
WWLLDH Tigres UANL3–0
A Club America1–2
H Cruz Azul1–2
A Monterrey2–1
H Necaxa3–3
Tigres UANL form
LDLDWA CF Pachuca3–0
A U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
H Leon0–2
A Guadalajara Chivas1–1
H Toluca3–2
Head to head
2
CF
1
Draw
2
Tigres
Oct 2026CF Pachuca – Tigres UANL3–0
Feb 2026Tigres UANL – CF Pachuca1–2
Oct 2025CF Pachuca – Tigres UANL1–2
Apr 2025CF Pachuca – Tigres UANL0–0
Oct 2024Tigres UANL – CF Pachuca2–1
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Atlas15027
4Cruz Azul14+926
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon14+322
8Monterrey14+521
9U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
10Club Queretaro14-320
Match preview
Our model makes CF Pachuca slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.91 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.60 for CF Pachuca, 0.96 for Tigres UANL), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CF Pachuca sit 11th on 19 points; Tigres UANL are 15th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.