Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 31Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Saputo Stadium
CF Montreal
0–2FULL TIME
Nashville SC
11% CF
18% Draw
71% Nashville
OUR PICK
Nashville SC to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
0.73 – 2.22
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X219.25X5.5921.40
Goals 2.5Over1.77Under2.14
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.12
X2
89%
CF Montreal form
DLLDDA New York City FC1–1
A Charlotte4–0
H Nashville SC0–2
H Forge1–1
A Seattle Sounders1–1
Nashville SC form
WDWDWH New York Red Bulls3–2
H Philadelphia Union0–0
A CF Montreal0–2
A San Jose Earthquakes1–1
H Sporting Kansas City4–0
Head to head
0
CF
2
Draw
3
Nashville
Oct 2026CF Montreal – Nashville SC0–2
Jul 2026Nashville SC – CF Montreal1–0
Oct 2025CF Montreal – Nashville SC1–1
Mar 2025Nashville SC – CF Montreal3–0
May 2024CF Montreal – Nashville SC0–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Nashville SC clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (0.73 for CF Montreal, 2.22 for Nashville SC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.