Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Saputo Stadium
CF Montreal
0–3FULL TIME
Atlanta United FC
41% CF
25% Draw
34% Atlanta
OUR PICK
CF Montreal to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.34
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.45X3.9922.93
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
CF Montreal form
DLLDDA New York City FC1–1
A Charlotte4–0
H Nashville SC0–2
H Forge1–1
A Seattle Sounders1–1
Atlanta United FC form
WLLLWH Toronto FC3–1
A New York City FC2–1
H Chicago Fire2–3
H Inter Miami1–3
A CF Montreal0–3
Head to head
0
CF
2
Draw
3
Atlanta
Oct 2026CF Montreal – Atlanta United FC0–3
May 2026Atlanta United FC – CF Montreal3–1
Aug 2025CF Montreal – Atlanta United FC1–1
Feb 2025Atlanta United FC – CF Montreal3–2
Oct 2024CF Montreal – Atlanta United FC2–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: CF Montreal 41%, the draw 25%, Atlanta United FC 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.49 for CF Montreal, 1.34 for Atlanta United FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.