Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
URUPrimera División · Clausura - 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Cerro
13th · 37 pts1–2FULL TIME
Central Espanol
10th · 41 pts35% Cerro
29% Draw
36% Central
OUR PICK
Central Espanol to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.75
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.87X3.4822.75
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.64
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
CerroCentral Espanol0.8Goals per game1.0
1.5Conceded per game1.4
1.06Points per game1.17
29%Win rate31%
-24Goal difference-13
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Cerro form
No recent matches.
Central Espanol form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Cerro
0
Draw
0
Central
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Penarol35+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado34+2262
3Atletico Torque34+1760
4Racing Montevideo35+1460
5Club Nacional34+1058
6Liverpool Montevideo34+1456
7Wanderers35-251
8Albion FC34+346
9Juventud34-441
10Central Espanol35-1341
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Cerro 35%, the draw 29%, Central Espanol 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.11 for Cerro, 1.14 for Central Espanol), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cerro sit 13th on 37 points; Central Espanol are 10th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.