BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Jan Breydel Stadium

Cercle Brugge

17th · 6 pts

1–2FULL TIME

Anderlecht

5th · 19 pts

31% Cercle

25% Draw

43% Anderlecht

OUR PICK

Anderlecht to win

Model probability 43% · fair odds

2.31

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.51

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X213.18X3.9622.31

Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97

Both scoreGG1.80NG2.14

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.31

Over 1.5

76%

Over/Under 2.5@1.92

Over 2.5

52%

Both teams to score@1.80

56%

Double chance@1.34

75%

Season stats

Cercle BruggeAnderlecht

1.3Goals per game1.3

2.2Conceded per game1.1

0.60Points per game1.90

10%Win rate60%

-9Goal difference2

4Form, last 5 (pts)12

Cercle Brugge form

WLWLL

H Antwerp2–1

A Union St. Gilloise5–2

A Sporting Hasselt1–2

H Anderlecht1–2

A Charleroi3–2

Anderlecht form

WLWLL

H KVC Westerlo4–1

A Gent4–0

A Jagiellonia0–3

A Beerschot VA2–1

A Dinamo Zagreb1–0

Head to head

Cercle

Draw

Anderlecht

Oct 2026Cercle Brugge – Anderlecht1–2

Mar 2026Anderlecht – Cercle Brugge2–3

Aug 2025Cercle Brugge – Anderlecht0–2

Mar 2025Anderlecht – Cercle Brugge3–0

Nov 2024Cercle Brugge – Anderlecht0–5

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Club Brugge KV10+1827

2Union St. Gilloise10+2226

3Gent10+1325

4Charleroi10+924

5Anderlecht10+219

6Genk10+415

7Lommel United10+215

8KVC Westerlo10014

9Standard Liege10-112

10Zulte Waregem10-411

Match preview

Our model makes Anderlecht slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.25 for Cercle Brugge, 1.51 for Anderlecht), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Cercle Brugge sit 17th on 6 points; Anderlecht are 5th on 19.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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