Over 1.5 goals@2.01
Over 1.5
50%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 32Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Central Norte
16th · 38 pts1–1FULL TIME
Racing Cordoba
14th · 40 pts39% Central
34% Draw
27% Racing
OUR PICK
Central Norte to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.73
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.58X2.9323.70
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.31
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.46
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.46
NG
68%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
Central NorteRacing Cordoba0.6Goals per game0.9
0.9Conceded per game1.3
1.06Points per game1.11
19%Win rate28%
-9Goal difference-13
6Form, last 5 (pts)4
Central Norte form
LDWDDA San Telmo1–0
H Acassuso0–0
A Chaco For Ever1–2
H Ferro Carril Oeste1–1
H Racing Cordoba1–1
Racing Cordoba form
LLLWDA Chaco For Ever3–1
H All Boys1–2
A Ferro Carril Oeste1–0
H Los Andes1–0
A Central Norte1–1
Head to head
1
Central
1
Draw
3
Racing
Oct 2026Central Norte – Racing Cordoba1–1
May 2026Racing Cordoba – Central Norte1–2
Oct 2022Racing Cordoba – Central Norte1–0
Sept 2022Racing Cordoba – Central Norte1–0
Jun 2022Central Norte – Racing Cordoba0–1
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Central Norte slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 34% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.94 for Central Norte, 0.73 for Racing Cordoba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Central Norte sit 16th on 38 points; Racing Cordoba are 14th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.