Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
URUPrimera División · Clausura - 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Parque Palermo
Central Espanol
10th · 41 pts1–3FULL TIME
Albion FC
8th · 47 pts35% Central
27% Draw
38% Albion
OUR PICK
Albion FC to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.27
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.86X3.6922.64
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Central EspanolAlbion FC1.0Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.17Points per game1.34
31%Win rate37%
-13Goal difference3
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Central Espanol form
WLLLLA Cerro1–2
H Albion FC1–3
A Danubio1–0
H Danubio0–6
H Club Nacional0–1
Albion FC form
DWWLWH Deportivo Maldonado0–0
A Central Espanol1–3
H Atletico Torque2–1
A Deportivo Maldonado4–1
A Cerro Largo0–1
Head to head
1
Central
2
Draw
2
Albion
Oct 2026Central Espanol – Albion FC1–3
Apr 2026Albion FC – Central Espanol6–1
Oct 2025Albion FC – Central Espanol0–0
Aug 2025Central Espanol – Albion FC1–1
Apr 2025Albion FC – Central Espanol1–2
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Penarol35+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado35+2263
3Atletico Torque35+1863
4Club Nacional35+1161
5Racing Montevideo35+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo35+1659
7Wanderers35-251
8Albion FC35+347
9Juventud35-641
10Central Espanol35-1341
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Central Espanol 35%, the draw 27%, Albion FC 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.21 for Central Espanol, 1.27 for Albion FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Central Espanol sit 10th on 41 points; Albion FC are 8th on 47.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.