Over 1.5 goals@2.15
Over 1.5
47%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14Monday, 26 October 2026 · Estadio Alfredo Terrera
Central Cordoba de Santiago
13th · 16 pts0–5FULL TIME
Velez Sarsfield
3rd · 28 pts30% Central
36% Draw
35% Velez
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.80
Expected goals
0.74 – 0.83
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.38X2.8022.88
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.42
NG
71%
Double chance@1.42
X2
70%
Season stats
Central Cordoba de SantiagoVelez Sarsfield0.7Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game0.8
1.00Points per game1.75
25%Win rate44%
-10Goal difference6
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Central Cordoba de Santiago form
LLDDDH Velez Sarsfield0–5
A Newells Old Boys2–1
H Estudiantes L.P.2–2
A Deportivo Riestra1–1
H Defensa Y Justicia2–2
Velez Sarsfield form
DWWLDH San Lorenzo2–2
A Central Cordoba de Santiago0–5
H Gimnasia M.1–0
A Lanus2–0
H Platense2–2
Head to head
1
Central
0
Draw
4
Velez
Oct 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago – Velez Sarsfield0–5
Apr 2026Velez Sarsfield – Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0
Sept 2025Velez Sarsfield – Central Cordoba de Santiago2–0
Dec 2024Velez Sarsfield – Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1
Jul 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago – Velez Sarsfield0–2
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Central Cordoba de Santiago 30%, the draw 36%, Velez Sarsfield 35%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.74 for Central Cordoba de Santiago, 0.83 for Velez Sarsfield), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13th on 16 points; Velez Sarsfield are 3rd on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.