SoccerVistaPredict
AUSA-League · Matchday 1Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast Mariners

10th · 2 pts
2–2FULL TIME

Newcastle Jets

11th · 2 pts
46% Central
27% Draw
27% Newcastle
OUR PICK
Central Coast Mariners to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.00
Confidence
Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.17X3.7123.72
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%

Season stats

Central Coast MarinersNewcastle Jets
1.0Goals per game1.0
1.7Conceded per game2.0
0.67Points per game0.67
0%Win rate0%
-2Goal difference-3
2Form, last 5 (pts)2

Central Coast Mariners form

DLDLL
A Melbourne Victory1–1
A Wellington Phoenix2–0
H Newcastle Jets2–2
A Western Sydney Wanderers5–1
A Vanuatu United1–0

Newcastle Jets form

LLLDD
H SHANGHAI SIPG2–4
H Wellington Phoenix0–3
A Kyoto Sanga5–2
H Macarthur1–1
A Central Coast Mariners2–2

Head to head

1
Central
2
Draw
2
Newcastle
Oct 2026Central Coast Mariners – Newcastle Jets2–2
Apr 2026Newcastle Jets – Central Coast Mariners4–0
Feb 2026Central Coast Mariners – Newcastle Jets0–0
Oct 2025Central Coast Mariners – Newcastle Jets3–2
Apr 2025Newcastle Jets – Central Coast Mariners6–0

A-League table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix3+69
2Western Sydney Wanderers3+35
3Macarthur3+15
4Brisbane Roar2+14
5Sydney304
6Auckland3-14
7Melbourne City3-14
8Perth Glory3+23
9Melbourne Victory3-12
10Central Coast Mariners3-22

Match preview

Our model makes Central Coast Mariners slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.40 for Central Coast Mariners, 1.00 for Newcastle Jets), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Central Coast Mariners sit 10th on 2 points; Newcastle Jets are 11th on 2.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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