Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
91%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Celtic Park
Celtic
1st · 28 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kilmarnock
11th · 9 pts86% Celtic
9% Draw
5% Kilmarnock
OUR PICK
Celtic to win
Model probability 86% · fair odds
1.16
Expected goals
3.40 – 0.72
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.16X11.09222.09
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
Season stats
CelticKilmarnock2.3Goals per game1.1
0.8Conceded per game2.3
2.33Points per game0.75
75%Win rate17%
17Goal difference-15
10Form, last 5 (pts)4
Celtic form
LDWLWA Falkirk2–0
H Dundee Utd2–2
A Hibernian1–2
H Celta Vigo1–2
H Heart Of Midlothian7–1
Kilmarnock form
DLLWLH ST Johnstone2–2
A Dundee3–1
A Falkirk3–0
H Motherwell3–2
A Rangers3–1
Head to head
5
Celtic
0
Draw
0
Kilmarnock
Aug 2026Kilmarnock – Celtic1–5
Feb 2026Kilmarnock – Celtic2–3
Nov 2025Celtic – Kilmarnock4–0
Sept 2025Kilmarnock – Celtic1–2
Apr 2025Celtic – Kilmarnock5–1
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Celtic clear favourites, giving them a 86% chance of winning against 9% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.40 for Celtic, 0.72 for Kilmarnock), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Celtic sit 1st on 28 points; Kilmarnock are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.