Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
77%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Celtic Park
Celtic
1st · 28 pts7–1FULL TIME
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd · 20 pts43% Celtic
25% Draw
32% Heart
OUR PICK
Celtic to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.31X3.9823.17
Goals 2.5Over1.90Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
CelticHeart Of Midlothian2.3Goals per game2.2
0.8Conceded per game1.5
2.33Points per game1.82
75%Win rate55%
17Goal difference7
10Form, last 5 (pts)8
Celtic form
LDWLWA Falkirk2–0
H Dundee Utd2–2
A Hibernian1–2
H Celta Vigo1–2
H Heart Of Midlothian7–1
Heart Of Midlothian form
LDWLH Hibernian1–2
H Rangers2–2
A Motherwell0–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
Head to head
2
Celtic
1
Draw
2
Heart
Oct 2026Celtic – Heart Of Midlothian7–1
May 2026Celtic – Heart Of Midlothian3–1
Jan 2026Heart Of Midlothian – Celtic2–2
Dec 2025Celtic – Heart Of Midlothian1–2
Oct 2025Heart Of Midlothian – Celtic3–1
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Celtic slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.52 for Celtic, 1.26 for Heart Of Midlothian), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Celtic sit 1st on 28 points; Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.