Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 11Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Celtic Park
Celtic
1st · 28 pts2–2FULL TIME
Dundee Utd
6th · 16 pts70% Celtic
18% Draw
12% Dundee
OUR PICK
Celtic to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.42
Expected goals
2.27 – 0.81
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.42X5.6028.44
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.13
1X
88%
Season stats
CelticDundee Utd2.3Goals per game1.5
0.8Conceded per game1.5
2.33Points per game1.45
75%Win rate36%
17Goal difference0
10Form, last 5 (pts)11
Celtic form
LDWLWA Falkirk2–0
H Dundee Utd2–2
A Hibernian1–2
H Celta Vigo1–2
H Heart Of Midlothian7–1
Dundee Utd form
DWDWA Celtic2–2
H Aberdeen3–2
A ST Johnstone1–1
H Hibernian1–0
Head to head
2
Celtic
1
Draw
2
Dundee
Oct 2026Celtic – Dundee Utd2–2
Aug 2026Dundee Utd – Celtic0–4
Mar 2026Dundee Utd – Celtic2–0
Jan 2026Celtic – Dundee Utd4–0
Dec 2025Dundee Utd – Celtic2–1
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Celtic clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.27 for Celtic, 0.81 for Dundee Utd), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Celtic sit 1st on 28 points; Dundee Utd are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.