Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Municipal de Balaídos
Celta Vigo
10th · 12 pts0–0FULL TIME
Real Betis
4th · 23 pts39% Celta
27% Draw
33% Real
OUR PICK
Celta Vigo to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X3.6622.99
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
Celta VigoReal Betis0.9Goals per game1.6
0.9Conceded per game1.4
1.09Points per game2.09
18%Win rate64%
0Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Celta Vigo form
LDWWLA Rayo Vallecano3–0
H Real Betis0–0
A Celtic1–2
H Alaves2–1
H Juventus1–2
Real Betis form
WDWLWH Malaga2–1
A Celta Vigo0–0
H Feyenoord1–0
H Barcelona2–5
H FC Porto3–2
Head to head
1
Celta
4
Draw
0
Real
Oct 2026Celta Vigo – Real Betis0–0
Mar 2026Real Betis – Celta Vigo1–1
Aug 2025Celta Vigo – Real Betis1–1
Feb 2025Celta Vigo – Real Betis3–2
Nov 2024Real Betis – Celta Vigo2–2
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Deportivo La Coruna11+114
9Villarreal11012
10Celta Vigo11012
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Celta Vigo 39%, the draw 27%, Real Betis 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.28 for Celta Vigo, 1.16 for Real Betis), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Celta Vigo sit 10th on 12 points; Real Betis are 4th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.