Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 10Monday, 19 October 2026 · Municipal de Balaídos
Celta de Vigo II
16th · 13 pts1–1FULL TIME
Tenerife
14th · 14 pts43% Celta
23% Draw
34% Tenerife
OUR PICK
Celta de Vigo II to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.32
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.32X4.2922.97
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Celta de Vigo IITenerife1.5Goals per game1.2
1.9Conceded per game1.4
1.08Points per game1.27
25%Win rate27%
-5Goal difference-2
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Celta de Vigo II form
DLDWLH Cordoba2–2
A Girona5–1
H Tenerife1–1
H Real Sociedad II4–1
A Sporting Gijon3–2
Tenerife form
DDDDLH FC Andorra2–2
A Sabadell1–1
A Celta de Vigo II1–1
H Girona1–1
A Cordoba3–2
Head to head
0
Celta
2
Draw
1
Tenerife
Oct 2026Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife1–1
Mar 2026Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife1–1
Nov 2025Tenerife – Celta de Vigo II4–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Celta de Vigo II 43%, the draw 23%, Tenerife 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.71 for Celta de Vigo II, 1.49 for Tenerife), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Celta de Vigo II sit 16th on 13 points; Tenerife are 14th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.