Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
84%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 9Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Municipal de Balaídos
Celta de Vigo II
15th · 13 pts4–1FULL TIME
Real Sociedad II
18th · 11 pts41% Celta
23% Draw
36% Real
OUR PICK
Celta de Vigo II to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.57
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.46X4.3122.77
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
64%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad II1.5Goals per game1.3
1.9Conceded per game1.8
1.08Points per game0.92
25%Win rate25%
-5Goal difference-7
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Celta de Vigo II form
DLDWLH Cordoba2–2
A Girona5–1
H Tenerife1–1
H Real Sociedad II4–1
A Sporting Gijon3–2
Real Sociedad II form
WLLLLH Girona1–0
A Las Palmas1–0
H Almeria2–4
A Celta de Vigo II4–1
H Granada CF2–3
Head to head
2
Celta
1
Draw
2
Real
Oct 2026Celta de Vigo II – Real Sociedad II4–1
May 2025Real Sociedad II – Celta de Vigo II2–0
Jan 2025Celta de Vigo II – Real Sociedad II2–1
May 2024Real Sociedad II – Celta de Vigo II0–0
Nov 2023Celta de Vigo II – Real Sociedad II1–2
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Celta de Vigo II 41%, the draw 23%, Real Sociedad II 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.68 for Celta de Vigo II, 1.57 for Real Sociedad II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Celta de Vigo II sit 15th on 13 points; Real Sociedad II are 18th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.